Click here to view in browser 11 July 2025 Timely rainfall improves crop conditions in key WA growing regions Recent rainfall broadly received across Western Australia’s grain belt of between 15 to 30mm has eased grower concerns, particularly those in the drier areas of Geraldton and the north
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11 July 2025

Timely rainfall improves crop conditions in key WA growing regions 

Recent rainfall broadly received across Western Australia’s grain belt of between 15 to 30mm has eased grower concerns, particularly those in the drier areas of Geraldton and the northern and central Kwinana zones. But plenty more is still needed, particularly in these areas, given their very low rainfall received year to date. Southern areas of Western Australia are generally better placed. 


Up to 30 mm of rainfall was received in southern areas of the South Australian growing regions also. This was welcomed by growers who are experiencing some of the lowest rainfall totals on record. 


We proceed with caution. While root zone soil moisture deficits have eased in many regions of southern and Western Australia, levels generally remain below average for this time of year. Crop outcomes are obviously heavily dependent on the weather patterns through July, August and September. 


Early planted crops have experienced consistent germination, as demonstrated by the pictures below. Temperatures have been generally warmer than average, allowing good early growth and establishment. However, there is a notable difference to later planted crops which emerged in colder June conditions and have developed at a slower pace. These later planted crops have benefitted most from the recent rainfall. 

Canola, Wickepin, Kwinana Zone

Wheat, Latham, Geraldton Zone

Regional updates

Western Australia

  • Recent cold fronts and low-pressure systems have swept through south-west Western Australia (WA), bringing some much-needed rain and a few storms. 
  • Over the past week, rainfall totals have varied from 15 and 50 mm, the latter being in isolated areas. Good falls that have occurred in coastal areas have boosted yield prospects while the central grain belt is still waiting for a real soaking. 
  • June turned out to be WA’s warmest since 2020, with higher-than-average daytime temperatures. The extra warmth has accelerated crop development.  
  • Southern areas of the WA grain belt, namely the Albany and Esperance zones, have generally experienced a better start to the season with an earlier start and more consistent rainfall to date.   

South Australia

  • Cold fronts and low-pressure systems have also swept through South Australia’s (SA) cropping regions bringing between 5 and 30 mm of rain. 
  • Unfortunately, this rain has come too late for much of the Western Eyre Peninsula (EP). Central and Eastern EP regions recorded 11 to 33 mm, while the Lower EP received 14 to 32 mm. These falls will help crops in the Eastern and Lower regions, but a substantial follow-up rain of 25 to 35 mm is still needed for crops to have a chance of achieving average yields.
  • Eastern SA received 20 to 35 mm over the past month, with the Yorke Peninsula, Adelaide Hills, and Southeast recording the highest falls. This has supported crop germination, but regular follow-up rain will be critical to reach average yields. Marginal areas remain very dry and in urgent need of rain.  
  • While grower sentiment has lifted slightly with the recent falls, feed availability for livestock remains tight, prompting continued hay imports from the eastern states and WA. Demand for sheep feed pellets also remains high. 

Wheat, Crystal Brook, South Australia

Canola, Port Lincoln, South Australia

Subsoil moisture

Source: Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Even though many cropping zones have seen showers, and soil moisture has improved a little since June, it’s still below what we’d usually expect in most regions—especially across the south and west. 

This places great importance on rainfall volume and timing over the coming months. 

Weather

Short-term rainfall forecasts

Rainfall for week ending 8 July

Source: Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Rainfall forecast for 8 July - 15 July

Source: Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Medium-term rainfall forecasts

Rainfall prediction for July

Source: Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Rainfall forecast for July - September

Source: Australian Government Bureau of Meteorology

Market update

Every Friday, CBH Group presents key grain market trends on Western Australia's regional TV broadcaster. Watch the latest update here.

CBH GWN market update 4 July 2025

Production estimates

National barley production estimates have been trimmed to 12.5 million tonnes, down from 12.8 million tonnes, given yield prospects in some isolated areas now have reduced upside. 

Source: CBH Group and ABARES Crop Report

Industry events

Australian Grain Conference: 30 -31 July
Grain Industry Association of WA Barley Forum: 5 August
Dowerin Machinery Field Days: 27-28 August 
RMI Asia Pacific Regional Summit: 7-10 October 

Contact us

Contact CBH Group 

 

CBH Group

Level 6, 240 St Georges Terrace
Western Australia 6000

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CBH Group

 Level 6, 240 St Georges Terrace
Western Australia 6000

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Issued by CBH Grain Pty Ltd ABN 39 089 394 883. CBH Grain Pty Ltd does not provide any financial or market advice to buyers or potential buyers of grain under this product. The information on this market update is not a risk management recommendation or strategy. The information is provided purely to assist buyers and they should consider seeking independent advice to assess the appropriateness or otherwise of entering into a contract. This publication is not for public circulation or reproduction, in whole or in part, and must not be disclosed to any person other than the intended recipient without prior consent of CBH Grain Pty Ltd. Chart data is ABS, ACF, BOM and CBH Research.